ELEVENTH IN LINE
About This Blog
A blog about my life, universe, etc. At any given time you might find something endlessly interesting or just me ruminating on something else, which no one (not even myself) finds interesting. That's the way blogs go, I suppose. Anyway, I was eleventh in line, and you weren't. Hah!
Temp @ JPMorgan Chase
Ohio State University
Political Science, International Studies
High School: Home Educated Hobbies:
Reading, standing in line for things, writing, research
About My Family
My mom is a lawyer in Pickerington; my stepdad and dad are computer guys, and my stepmom (who works with my dad) is an engineer. My sisters are, in order of age, a photographer, an artist, and a person too young to have her own website. My brothers are, in order of age, living up north, and again, a person too young to have a website. At some point soon I'll be collecting links for my aunts, uncle, and cousins. ^_^
(Please see the notes below the Comment Policy before sending me a message)
My CafePress Designs
Even More CafePress Designs
Star Wars: Episode 3 Line (Hollywood)
My Star Wars Line page
My Novel: Cipere Lumen
My Novel: The Manatee Conspiracy
My Novel: Beyond the Cliffs of Kefira
My Novel: sul Okyar tir taTz'ileea
Saturday, November 27, 2004
State of the Novel Report -- The End is In Sight Not the actual end, my friends, but something like it.
Yes. We have reached the 50,000 line. We are teetering back and forth like a petulant child about six inches from the line, whining about how it's way too soon to be done with this goal and aren't we still like 10,000 words behind or something? We're going to ignore that whining and teetering and just call it a win, for the purposes of this post.
It has been an illuminating journey, and the project is far from actual completion. There is still work to do. But hey, its party time. Will provide further details later. Yay us.
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Friday, November 26, 2004
41k and a Frosted World
I woke up this morning with a 41,683 word partial novel on my hands, and a frost over the entire world. Or at least the entire state. I look out the window, and it's like looking at a cake you can buy at one of those really expensive bakeries, with the whole delicate powdered sugar coating on everything. It's actually really cool; I wish I had a camera. Of coures it'll be gone in another hour or two, but hey...
Meanwhile, the NaNo is coming along swimmingly. I didn't quite meet my personal goal of 5,000 words on Wednesday, but I made up for that with over 6,000 on Thursday. I am actually officially caught up with where you're supposed to be, on the "slow and steady, every day a minimum number of words" plan. I only need to write 1700 words a day to finish in time. I'd prefer not to take the risk, though, and plan to write another 3-6k tonight and Saturday.
In completely unrelated news, the warehouse that my department is in (I work in an office just down the hall from the warehouse door) has been chilled to something around 25 degrees Fahrenheit. I have to wear gloves and a knit cap to get to my department's main office. It's really, really cold. Like, "the refridgerators we keep some of the plants in are actually warmer than the so-called ambient temperature section of the warehouse" cold. We could lower the temp in the fridges if we kept their doors open. Yuck.
I am so looking forward to CA temps and fake snow (Disneyland uses glycerin to make bubble snow, which is extra strange and therefore cool). To think that 50 is "really cold" and worthy of a heavy coat... sigh.
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Sunday, November 21, 2004
Well begun isn't half-done, But actually half-done SO IS.
The NaNo is now at 25,085 words. I'm 10,000 behind and catching up. Look out, November 30th, Sarah is on her way.
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Friday, November 19, 2004
State of the Novel Report III So, there hasn't been a lot of news on this front, and for that I apologize. The last two weeks have been rough on the noveling process, and we're more than a little behind. But I'm pleased to report that almost 8,000 words have been written in the last three days, and we find ourselves now at 33% of our minimum goal.
The road ahead is unlikely to be entirely pleasant. But it is one we are committed to taking. So, with 33,533 words to go, I bid the world good night.
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Scarred for Life I just saw a girl, maybe 18-20 years old, wearing pink flip-flops and yellow
and pink striped leg warmers. I may never fully recover my sanity.
On a related note, I have to work tomorrow morning. Let's all take a moment
to send me happy
There you go. That's it. Thanks, everyone!
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Tuesday, November 16, 2004
Home Education and Screedish Reporting I sent the following to the editors of the Akron Beacon-Journal. Hat tip: Homeschool and Other Education Stuff.
I was homeschooled for 11th and 12th grade in the Bucyrus City Schools district, which is right by Galion's. We were in the Naugatuck (CT) schools area for two years before that, and the Auborn Hills (MI) area for the year before that. What utter rubbish, is what I have to say about claims that less than 13% of Galion's homeschoolers are educating their children in this manner for "the right reasons." It is even more apparent as to what class of rubbish that this is (namely, self-serving, finger-pointing, "please please don't look at how utterly disastrous public education in Crawford County is" rubbish) when you actually go and see what homeschooling and public education are like in these actual districts. That kind of rubbish which your anti-homeschooling screed of an article series is, alas, defies the possibliity of a civilized name, but I'm working on it, and will keep you posted if necessary.
I said they could quote me and warned them not to mangle my name (it's SARAH PARKER-ALLEN, already -- there's an "h" and a hyphen and both have been sorely neglected by the news media in recent years) or my words. I doubt they'll mangle anything because I doubt they'll quote anything, but at least I got that off my chest.
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Wednesday, November 03, 2004
Bah humbug I'm going to bed. I can't get more than a nap at this point; Bush is ahead by 150k in Ohio according to the Secretary of State's website. I was hoping to stay up till some kind of speech was made, but it looks to be a while before that last 6% of results come in.
Will likely blog more tomorrow, during my NaNoWriMo time. Argh.
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Round on the sides and high in the middle! From a post I wrote at LiningUp.Net, with some minor editing for context and a few fixes, including a parenthetical statement that became four paragraphs... I started this post at around 11:30pm EST.
First, for those who, like me, are without remote controls:
[NOTE: in the half hour since I started writing this, the totals have changed, though the proportions haven't; I STRONGLY suggest actually looking at the data in the SOS link below]
My county has so far gone 63% for Bush. It looks so far, from the Ohio SecState's website, like only Cuyohoga Co. (Cleveland) has a Democratic advantage that's of significance within the state as a whole (150k for Kerry, 90k for Bush). Butler is closer but with smaller numbers (23k Kerry to 20k Bush), as are Erie (20k vs 18k), Franklin (222k to 200k), Loraine (59k to 47k) Lucas (29k to 17k), Mahoning (63k to 42k), Monroe (4k to 3k), Montgomery (99k to 97k), Portage (16k to 14k), Stark (41k to 39k), Summit (96k to 70k), and Trumbull (52k to 32k). All the remaining counties (there are 88 total, but Cuyohoga and Franklin are the biggest by a fairly big margin, as they are the homes of Cleveland and Columbus) are going for Bush (I could be wrong, as I'm running short of sleep -- verify on the links below). Hamilton (Cincinnati) and Lucas (Toledo) are next up in terms of population; Dayton is in Montgomery county.
Of the four largest counties by population (and those four are MUCH larger than their neighbors -- Fairfield is next to Franklin, and it's about 15% of its size in population terms), all but one -- Franklin -- are at around 30% reporting. Franklin's at 80%. And all four are pretty much going the way most people in Ohio would expect those counties to go, with the possible exception of Lucas (Toledo), which might go more conservative (but probably not, it's been hit pretty hard with factory closings).
Now, there are some nearby neighbor trends you want to look at: Lake County is right next to Cuyohoga, and is far more conservative (60k Bush to 57k Kerry). It's relatively small (118k votes total), but remember that's worth 7 or 8 other counties. That's how my county, Fairfield, sometimes works -- it's a +20% boost for whoever gets that little "R" by their name, [compared to our neighbor's totals]. But [then again,] Loraine is the little-yet-big neighbor to Eerie, and it's actually slightly more Kerry-leaning today (and Democrat in general) than Eerie is (Kerry is leading by 55%, 59k to 47k).
I point this out because while we have 35% type reporting levels in the biggest counties, their neighbors are at 70% or higher, and you can make rough predictions based on how the neighbors are behaving. [This is] in part because unlike with the larger counties, the neighbors are more likely to be uniform across precincts -- there's no notable difference amongst Pickerington A-G, the Bloomfield Township and Canal Winchester districts, etc. -- to compare, I just look at the differences in the OSU area, where neighboring precincts include the Ohio State dorm area (there's quite a few for the 10k dorm residents and 15k apartment/frat dwellers; it takes 4 or 5 different buildings to distribute all the kids, and that's despite the fact that so many of them vote absentee in their home counties) and Upper Arlington (a very conservative upper-middle class area). When you can get a rough idea of how much more conservative or liberal (I hesitate to use the word in Ohio, where the Democrats are often Republicans with the support of organized labor) a smaller neighbor is relative to a larger county, you can to a limited extent predict how big the difference between the parties will be.
Blech. That was annoying to write. For Ohio Election returns broken down by county:
And for a quick map of Ohio's counties:
and one that tells you where people live, but has difficult to read county names (that's why the one up there is the one I like better):
(the large one is easy to read, but HUGE:
Anyway, look to the neighbors, if you really want to see how some of those big counties with small responses will go. I'm pretty confident the rates won't change much, except that trends expressed will get stronger (that Kerry leads will get bigger, and so will Bush leads). Since I started writing this, for instance, Kerry's lead in Franklin county has increased by 1%, with an additional 13% reporting.
In other words, I'm not seeing surprises here. If Kerry does win, it'll require an absolute landslide in ALL the counties he's leading in, plus the largest possible gain in all the counties we're still waiting for (including ones where that's unlikely), which seems doubtful as all the counties are already at leads I was expecting. If it does go for Kerry it'll be something like 3.1 million to 3 million. And it'll be a move, with 70% reporting right now, of 5% -- Bush is leading 52% to 47%
Possible, but I wouldn't go putting a lot of money on it right now.
I'm really interested to see how the actual counties break down soon. I was planning to go to bed (I slept for the entire 8pm-11pm "oh my gosh polls are CLOSING!!!" thing, and it felt nice, and I was thinking of doing some more sleeping before leaving for work in 4 hours) but this is a lot more interesting than I thought it would be.
Oh! Something I just noticed that's helpful: for trying to figure out those mystery "0% reporting" counties and seeing if they matter, try the list of counties on this page:
Jackson and Huron I think are the only offenders remaining. When you click on them you can see they have very very VERY small populations.
EDIT: I forgot to add, the biggest Bush lead in any county is 75%, in Holmes county:
(woohoo, they have an airport!)
I don't know for sure, but it's hard to see the rather larger and more diverse Cuyohoga getting that kind of support level for ANYone (Kerry's at 62%, with 62% of precincts reporting as of this edit).
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Monday, November 01, 2004
State of the Novel Report 2 My fellow Netizens, good evening and welcome. Today my message is brief, and to the point: we have begun!
So far the novel has proceeded admirably from the state of a poor blank page to that of 10 pages covered with more than 3,000 individual words, many of which are indeed worthwhile and may even find their way into the final work.
I have taken the liberty of posting a section of today's work in a public forum, that others might see my words and decide to write some of their own. Go forth, my friends, and read. Read, and think, and choose to write.
Thank you, and good night.
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Because only so many people can be eleventh in line.